 Original article
 Published:
Influence of moisture content on estimating Young’s modulus of fullscale timber using stress wave velocity
Journal of Wood Science volume 63, pages 225–235 (2017)
Abstract
The effect of moisture content on the stress wave propagation velocity was investigated in order to estimate the Young’s modulus of fullscale timbers in an airdrying state using the measurement of stress wave propagation velocity above the fiber saturation point. Using Japanese cedar lumber, the velocity and the density under highmoisture condition and airdrying states were measured respectively; after measuring the modulus of elasticity in an airdrying state, the moisture content of each condition was measured. By performing numerical analysis on these data, the relationship between the moisture content and the rate of change of velocity of fullscale timbers was derived. This relationship was used to estimate the Young’s modulus of the timber in the airdrying state from the velocity in highmoisture condition. First, the velocity and the Young’s modulus in an airdrying state were estimated accurately from its density, moisture content and velocity under highmoisture condition. In cases where the density could not be measured, using the database of mechanical properties with the Monte Carlo simulation method, the Young’s modulus of the fullscale timber in an airdrying state might be estimated within 20% accuracy from its moisture content and velocity under highmoisture condition.
Introduction
For the purposes of forestry management and carbon stocks meant restraining carbon emissions, wood utilization, especially the material use of the wood which is not broken down of wood as much as possible attracts attention all over the world. In the case of material use, the quality assessment of the actual timber being used may be necessary since timber is a biologically varying material. Among the quality assessments of timber, especially while seeking the mechanical properties of such structural lumber in use, grading according to Young’s modulus plays a very important role [1]. Grading timber according to Young’s modulus not only allows us to understand the elastic properties of the timber individually, but also allows the fracture strength of the timber to be predicted. In recent years, grading lumber has become a major issue, particularly in Europe and the United States.
Furthermore, if it is possible to make good use of measuring the Young’s modulus at the stage of standing trees and logs to determine its usage application, it is possible to utilize the timber more efficiently, subsequently adding value to the timber. Currently, in Japan, the usage of logs is mainly determined based on visual observations of the shape. However, studies on selecting a timber according to future application using the Young’s modulus of standing tree and logs have been performed (for example, 2–10]). In these studies, the longitudinal vibration test or ultrasonic and stress waves for the Young’s modulus measurement were adopted and the qualitative effectiveness has been shown. However, of course, the Young’s modulus of log, namely green wood under highly moist condition is different from the value of the Young’s modulus in the airdrying state when being used. Therefore, it is necessary to have some sort of moisture correction to estimate the Young’s modulus in the airdrying state. In the cases of stress wave and ultrasound, since the free water within the cell pores cannot follow the vibration, it is known that the Young’s modulus, calculated from the velocity and density, is overestimated above the fiber saturation point (FSP) [11–14].
Moisture correction on the velocity or density is, therefore, also required to determine the Young’s modulus under highmoisture condition. For Young’s modulus measurement during highmoisture condition via the stress wave method, Sobue [11] proposed the mobility of free water and performed the moisture correction by adjusting the density, and some researchers used this approach in their reports [12, 14]. In the researches which investigate the influence of moisture content of wood on the velocity, they measure the velocity some times in the course of the drying process generally. Therefore, the size of a test specimen is around 500 mm in length and it is smaller than fullscale timber in most cases for experimental reasons. However, in the case of wood, there are large differences between small specimen and fullscale timber used in the actual building because fullscale timber has some defect like knots and intrasubject variation. Therefore, it is important to use the fullscale timber as specimen for the investigation of mechanical or physical properties of wood used in the buildings. Unterwieser and Schickhofer [10] were used the relatively large spruce specimen and investigated the influence of moisture content on the velocity and dynamic Young’s modulus. They measured the velocity by two methods, that is, measurements of natural frequency and ultrasonic runtime, then reported the empirical formula to obtain the velocity at 12% moisture content from that below and above FSP.
In this study, with the aim of estimating the Young’s modulus of a fullscale timber in the airdrying state from the stress wave propagation velocity, measured in highmoisture condition, the effect of moisture content on the stress wave propagation velocity was examined. Specimen was general size of structural timber in Japan, which had larger dimension than that used in the Unterwieser and Schickhofer’s research [10]. Because the fullscale timber was used as a test specimen, it was difficult to dry the specimen so as to uniformly distribute moisture. Therefore, in this study the experiment was done only twice at the green condition and the airdrying state and the numerical method was used for analysis. Specifically, using Japanese cedar lumber, the density and the stress wave propagation velocity in highmoisture condition and in the airdrying state were measured, respectively; after bending test to measure the modulus of elasticity in the airdrying state, the moisture content was measured using the ovendrying method. By carrying out numerical analysis on these data, the relationship between the moisture content and the rate of change of velocity in the timber was derived. Using this relationship, the method of estimating the Young’s modulus of the fullscale timber in the airdrying state from the stress wave propagation velocity in highmoisture condition was suggested and its effectiveness was verified.
Materials and methods
Determination of moisture content: stress wave velocity curve
Fullscale test for analysis
First, the symbols in the present paper are listed in Table 1. To examine the relationship between the stress wave propagation velocity and moisture content of the fullscale timber as well as the relationship between Young’s modulus with these former two parameters, the following experiments were conducted. The test specimens were fullscale sawn lumbers of Japanese cedar (Cryptomeria japonica D. Don) from the Miyagi Prefecture in Japan. The dimensions of the specimens were 120 (b) × 210 (h) × 4000 (l) mm. The number of test specimens, n, was 38. Before drying [moisture content, u _{b} = (113.2 ± 29.5)%] and after drying [moisture content, u _{a} = (16.4 ± 8.3)%], the density (ρ, calculated from the weight and volume), and the stress wave propagation velocity (before drying, V _{b}; after drying, V _{a}) of each specimen were measured. For the numerical analysis, to be described later, group A with a moisture content higher than the fiber saturation point (hereafter, FSP) after drying (u _{a} > 28%; number of test specimens, n = 6) and group B with a moisture content lower than the FSP after drying (u _{a} < 28%; number of test specimens, n = 32) were created by adjusting the drying period. As for drying condition, onehalf specimens were dried under high temperature (outsourcing, drying period of 7 days, maximum drybulb temperature of 120 °C) and the others were dried under middle temperature (at Miyagi Prefectural Forestry Technology Institute, drying period of 14 days, initial drybulb temperature of 60 °C and final drybulb temperature of 75 °C).
The stress wave propagation velocity was measured using a portable stress wave propagation timer, FAKOPP, with installation of transmission sensors at the two ends of the specimen (cross sections of timber), respectively. As shown in Fig. 1, the sensor installation positions on the plane of timber ends were at three points, dividing four equal portions along the direction of beam height. By taking three measurements at each point, the average value of stress wave propagation velocity at that point was obtained. From the stress wave propagation velocities at the three points per test specimen (M1, P, M2), P data are the pith data, whereas the average values of M1 and M2 are the data for mature wood because they were located outside from 15 annual rings. Besides, averaging the values using (P1+(M1 + M2)/2)/2) gave the average data of the test specimen. In addition, in the study by Guan et al. [14], the relationship between the moisture content and the rate of change of velocity using small test specimens, taken from the heartwood or sapwood was examined. In this study, the measurement points M1 and M2 were different, which may or may not be sapwood. Clear division between heartwood and sapwood for these data was impossible.
Furthermore, to examine the modulus of elasticity (MOE) in the airdrying state, a fullscale bending test on specimens after drying was carried out. The bending test, based on a standard test method that is ISOcompliant, was a fourpoint bending test with a distance of 3780 mm between the supporting points (18 times of the beam height) and trisecting the distance between the supporting and load point into 1260 mm (6 times of the beam height). With the stroke control of constant displacement speed set at 20 mm min^{−1}, the loading was performed using fullscale mechanical testing equipment. The bending load from the load cell, attached to the equipment, as well as the bending deflection from the displacement gauge, installed on the neutral axis of the specimen center, was measured using data loggers, respectively. These captured data were recorded in a personal computer. From the relationship of the measured load and the central bending deflection, the modulus of elasticity (MOE) was determined.
After completing the bending test, samples with width of about 20 mm were taken in longitudinal direction of timber, approximately 1 m from the end of the remaining fractured specimens to determine the moisture contents after drying, u _{a}, using the ovendrying method. Then the moisture contents after drying, u _{b}, was obtained by weight change.
Numerical analysis
Using some data of fullscale timbers in the “Fullscale test for analysis” as described above, the transition of stress wave propagation velocity, V, with the change in moisture content of the fullscale timber [hereafter, named the relationship of moisture content (u) − rate of change of velocity (V _{ u }/V _{0})] was determined using the numerical analysis method, shown below. A schematic diagram for the relationship of u − V _{ u }/V _{0} is shown in Fig. 2. With the horizontal axis as the moisture content (u), the vertical axis as the rate of change of velocity (V _{ u }/V _{0}) is normalized when the moisture content is 0%. According to Sandoz [3], it is considered that the influence of moisture content on stress wave propagation velocity of the timber is different below the FSP, containing only bound water, from above the FSP, containing also free water. Therefore, in this study, it was assumed that the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship shows bilinear behavior before and after the FSP (for example, [3]). The relationship is represented by the Eq. (1), below the FSP, and Eq. (2), above the FSP.
To obtain the bilinear equation, V _{0} is required to serve as the reference. Since V _{0} is the stress wave propagation velocity in absolutedry condition, its measurement using a fullscale timber is very difficult. Thus, in the present numerical analysis, a valid V _{0} was first estimated from the range of 4000–6000 m s^{−1} with respect to the experimental results of both before drying and after drying via the following method. Using this estimated value to determine the coefficients of Eqs. (1) and (2), the validities of both equations were verified. The analysis procedure is as follows:

1.
Prepare the following set of data to be used in the analysis; Group A: Ai (u _{b} i, V _{b} i, u _{a} i, V _{a} i), (i = 1, 2,…,6), (u _{a} i > 28%), Group B: Bj (u _{b} j, V _{b} j, u _{a} j, V _{a} j), (j = 1, 2,…,31), (u _{a} j < 28%). As described below, for verification of the analysis, one set of experimental values in Group B was not used in the numerical analysis.

2.
With respect to one data set, Ai (i = 1, 2,…,6), in Group A, conduct the analysis following steps (3)–(7);

3.
Assuming V _{0} as a reference for the rate of change of velocity within the range 4000–6000 m s^{−1} at intervals of 10 m s^{− 1} in this study, conduct calculations following steps (4) and (5) for the one assumed value;

4.
Using the data set of Ai and the assumed V _{0} in step ③, calculate the coefficients of p(V _{0}), q(V _{0}), r(V _{0}) for the bilinear relationship of V _{ u }/V _{0} from Eqs. (1) and (2) (Fig. 3a). These coefficients vary with respect to the assumed value of V _{0} (Fig. 3b).

5.
If the assumed value of V _{0} in step (4) is close to the true value when the coefficients of p(V _{0}), q(V _{0}), r(V _{0}) are valid values, use another set of experimental data to calculate the velocity at the FSP, V _{28L}, from the side of low moisture content (u ≦ 28%) and the velocity at the FSP, V _{28H}, calculated from the side of high moisture content (u ≧ 28%), both results should match.
Thus, to obtain reasonable coefficients of p, q, and r, the following method of verifying data was created using the data set of Group B, Bj (j = 1, 2,…,31).
The calculated velocity at the FSP from the side of low moisture content, V _{28L}, is obtained by transforming Eq. (1) into Eq. (3); the calculated velocity at the FSP from the side of high moisture content, V _{28H}, is obtained by transforming Eq. (2) into Eq. (4).
After substituting the coefficients of p(V _{0}), q(V _{0}), r(V _{0}) from the relationship of u − V _{ u }/V _{0} obtained in Step ④ and one of data set in Group B, Bj, into these equations, then the difference in both, ΔV _{28} j, is calculated using Eq. (5) (Fig. 3c).
Calculate the sum of ΔV _{ 28} j, SA(V _{0}), corresponding to the 31 sets of Bj;

6.
Corresponding to Ai, set the V _{0} i to be V _{0} to minimize the obtained SA(V _{0}) in Step (5);

7.
Corresponding to the V _{0} i obtained in Step (6), set each coefficient of p(V _{0} i), q(V _{0} i) and r(V _{0} i) to be pi, qi and ri, as the analysis results of Ai;

8.
Compute the coefficients p, q, r of Eqs. (1) and (2) by averaging the values from the analysis results of all Group A.
Fullscale test for the verification of analysis result
To validate the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship obtained in the above analysis, verification was carried out as follows. Using the experimental groups described in “Fullscale test for analysis”, the one remaining data set not used was subjected to the verification method. The relationship of data for analysis and data for verification is shown in Fig. 4.
Specifically, the above numerical analysis was carried out using 31 sets of data, excluding one set of experimental values, from Group B (n = 32) to determine the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship according to the preceding paragraph. The validity of the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship, obtained in the analysis, was verified using the one set of data that was not used for the analysis at that time. From a combination of specimens for analysis and the specimen for verification, the analysis result for each specimen of Group A (n = 6) can be obtained 31 ways. In other words, using the other 31 specimens in Group B for the analysis of each specimen in Group A, the analysis results on the number of specimens in Group A (n = 6; coefficients of relationship, p, q, r) are obtained for the exclusive one specimen in Group B, as shown in Fig. 5. These average values can be verified by the exclusive specimen in Group B.
Results and discussion
Relationship between moisture content and the rate of change of stress wave velocity
The physical properties and Young’s modulus of the cedar fullscale specimens are listed in Table 2. Looking at the influence of the measurement points along end section on the stress wave propagation velocity, the measurements on the mature wood are slightly larger than the measurement on the pith for both before and after drying of both Groups A and B. This trend can also be seen in previous research [15]. However, there was also no significant statistical difference between both groups. For the Young’s modulus after drying, comparing the ρ _{a(o)} V _{a(o)} ^{2}, calculated from density and stress wave propagation velocity and the MOE_{a(o)}, ρV ^{2} was larger than MOE by 8.3% at the measurement points of pith and by 13.9% at the mature wood, respectively. It is considered that this tendency, which was also observed in the previous study [16], is due to the frequencydependent (timedependent) influence of the Young’s modulus caused by the viscoelasticity of the timber.
By conducting numerical analysis on these data, the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship of fullscale timber was obtained. Based on the respective measurement points of the stress wave propagation velocity for the analysis, the coefficients of the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship are summarized in Table 3. As for the moisture content below FSP, the slopes of the relationship, p, were at −0.00645 and −0.00586 on the pith and the mature wood, respectively; whereas the slopes for above FSP, q, were at −0.00215 and −0.00218, respectively. There was not much difference between measurement points; but regardless of measurement point, the rate of change of velocity with change in moisture content below the FSP was larger than that above the FSP. Such tendency has also been observed in a lot of previous studies (for example, [3, 10–12, 14, 17–19]). The slopes, p, were about three times of the slopes, q. First, this could be due to the wellknown fact that the Young’s modulus increases with a decrease in the moisture content below the FSP, whereas the Young’s modulus of the timber is constant above the FSP. Even above the FSP, the velocity does not become constant and changes under the influence of moisture content because the free water in the cell lumen cannot follow the vibration with high speed [3]. The results of the regression analysis on the extracted data of Guan et al. [14] [Japanese cedar, size of specimen: 20(T) × 20(R) × 500(L) mm] are also shown in Table 3. Comparing the present analysis results with the results of Guan, as shown in Table 3, the overall trends are generally similar. However, looking in detail, the rate of change of velocity with respect to moisture content in the present analysis results is larger than that in the results of Guan. Since the suggested results of Guan here are only intended to fit the regression equation into one data set, the number of samples was very limited. Furthermore, since the size of the specimen and the measurement methods are different, it was not possible to simply compare and was suggested that the fullscale timber is susceptible to moisture content.
The validity of the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship derived in this method was verified using the one dataset, which was not used in the numerical analysis to determine the coefficients for the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship, among the experimental data of Group B. In other words, using the relational expressions obtained, the stress wave propagation velocity in the airdrying state (moisture content after drying, u _{a}), V _{a(e)}, was estimated from the stress wave propagation velocity in highmoisture condition (moisture content before drying, u _{b}), V _{b(o)}; then the estimated value V _{a(e)} and the observed value V _{a(o)} were compared. The values used are the coefficients of the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship, shown in Table 3. The relationship of the estimated value, V _{a(e)}, and the observed value, V _{a(o)}, is plotted in Fig. 6a. The estimation accuracy (estimated value/observed value) of V _{a} is listed in Table 4. As shown in these figure and tables, for any measurement point of the pith and mature wood, the estimated values and the observed values also showed very good agreement. Additionally, to examine the versatility of this relationship, it was verified using the experimental data of Sandoz [2] and Unterwieser and Schickhofer [10]. Using spruce as a test specimen [Size of specimen: 100 (Width) × 140 (Height) × 2800 (Length) mm], Sandoz examined the correlation between the ultrasonic velocity, measured at 22% moisture content and the ultrasonic velocity, measured at 14% moisture content. Therefore, for the results of Sandoz, the velocity at 14% moisture content was estimated from the velocity at 22% moisture content using the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship, obtained in the present analysis; these estimated values were compared with the observed values. The results are shown in Fig. 6b. The estimation accuracy was 0.99 ± 0.01 which was very good. Similarly, for the experimental data reported by Unterwieser and Schickhofer, which were obtained using the relatively large test specimen of spruce [Size of specimen: 202 mm and 98 mm (Width) × 49 mm and 41 mm (Height) × 4500 (Length) mm], the velocity at 12% moisture content was estimated from the ultrasonic velocity above FSP. As a result, the estimation accuracies were 1.02 ± 0.001 (using coefficients of the relational expression at pith shown in Table 3), 1.01 ± 0.001 (at mature), 1.02 ± 0.001 (for average), respectively, which also showed very good accuracy. Hence, it is considered that the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationships obtained by the analysis of this study are valid and also excellent in versatility.
Estimation of Young’s modulus in an airdrying state using stress wave velocity measured under highmoisture content condition
Comparison with experimental MOE
Using the estimated stress wave propagation velocity in the airdrying state (low moisture content state), V _{a(e)}, from the previous section, the Young’s modulus ρ _{a(e)} V _{a(e)} ^{2} in the airdrying state (moisture content after drying, u _{a}) was calculated. The aim of this study is to estimate the Young’s modulus in the airdrying state from the stress wave propagation velocity of the highmoisture condition. Thus, without measuring the ρ _{a(o)}, the required density under the moisture content after drying, ρ _{a(e)} at u _{a}, in the calculation was derived from the density under highmoisture condition, ρ _{b(o)} using the following equation with consideration of volume change of timber.
Here, α is overall shrinkage rate; δ is the average shrinkage rate for 1% moisture content; the subscripts L, R and T indicate the longitudinal direction, the radial direction and the tangential direction of timber, respectively. In this paper, though all the moisture contents, u, are expressed with the % notation, the u _{a} and u _{b} in Eq. (7), are not expressed with % notation. Extracted from the literature [20] for this study, α _{L} = 0.19%, α _{R} = 2.68% and α _{T} = 6.57%; dividing these values by 28, the values of δ _{L}, δ _{R}, δ _{T} were then obtained. Comparing this estimated ρ _{a(e)} V _{a(e)} ^{2} with the ρ _{a(o)} V _{a(o)} ^{2} and the MOE_{a(o)}, obtained from the experiments in the airdrying state, the estimation accuracy was verified. The estimation accuracy are collectively summarized in Table 4. As shown in Table 4, the estimation accuracies for any measurement points of pith and mature wood were also very high; for ρ _{a(o)} V _{a(o)} ^{2} and MOE_{a(o)}, the overall estimation accuracies were 1.00 ± 0.09 and 1.12 ± 0.12, respectively. The estimation accuracy for MOE was lower than the case of ρV ^{2}. As mentioned above, this is because the Young’s modulus of the timber calculated from the stress wave propagation velocity and density with ρV ^{2} is different from the MOE obtained by bending test in the first place.
Next, the estimation accuracy of the Young’s modulus, corrected to a moisture content of 15%, was examined. For the estimated ρ _{15(e)} V _{15(e)} ^{2}, the stress wave propagation velocity under 15% moisture content, V _{15(e)}, was derived from the stress wave propagation velocity under highmoisture condition, V _{b(o)} (moisture content before drying, u _{b}), using the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship, obtained in this analysis; the density under 15% moisture content, ρ _{15(e)}, was derived from the density under highmoisture content condition, ρ _{b(o)}, using a same method as described before, that is, with Eq. (7), then ρ _{15(e)} V _{15(e)} ^{2} was calculated. On the other hand, for the observed value of Young’s modulus, the moisture content correction was carried out from individual data of moisture content u _{ a }, using the ASTM D291598 method [21] with the following equation.
Here, extracted from ASTM [21], γ = 1.44, β = 0.0200. When the Young’s modulus E _{a} in the Eq. (8) is ρ _{a(o)} V _{a(o)} ^{2} or MOE_{a(o)}, the Young’s modulus E _{15} in the Eq. (8) will become ρV ^{2} or MOE, respectively (hereafter, referred to as ρV ^{2} _{15(ASTM)} or MOE_{15(ASTM)}, respectively). For the results, the estimation accuracy is shown in Table 4. For ρV ^{2} _{15(ASTM)} and MOE_{15(ASTM)}, the average estimation accuracies in total were 1.02 ± 0.09 and 1.13 ± 0.12, respectively. That is, also for the estimation of Young’s modulus at 15% moisture, it is shown that the ρ _{15(e)} V _{15(e)} ^{2}, derived from density, moisture content, stress wave propagation velocity in the highmoisture content stage, exceeding the FSP, is nearly accurate to the ρV ^{2} _{15(ASTM)}, obtained using the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship in this analysis; furthermore, even the MOE can be estimated within an error of 10–20%.
Estimation by Monte Carlo simulation without density
As described above, using the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship analyzed in this study, it was feasible to estimate the Young’s modulus in the airdrying state (ρV ^{2} or MOE) with high accuracy from the stress wave propagation velocity V _{b(o)}, measured at high moisture content. However, since the measurement of both density and moisture content are required for this estimate, the work onsite is, therefore, complicated, in particular when the measurement target is the log, these measurements are practically impossible. Therefore, the Young’s modulus estimation was examined without using these parameters to determine the accuracy of estimation.
First, when the density was unknown, that is, only the stress wave propagation velocity and the moisture content were known, the estimation accuracy of MOE was verified. The moisture content in this case is not the moisture content on surface; it is the average moisture content of the timber as a whole. The estimation was carried out using the Monte Carlo simulation method [22]. That is, using the existing database, related to the density–Young’s modulus relationship of the fullscale timber in the airdying state, on a simulation with random numbers, the Young’s modulus was estimated from the stress wave propagation velocity only, without measuring the density. The database of Japanese cedar (n = 7875) was used as the reference [23]. While setting the moisture contents of the estimated Young’s modulus for comparison, there were the experimental value during the measurement, u _{a}, and the average equilibrium moisture content of Japan at 15%. The estimation accuracy (estimated value/observed value) is shown in Table 4. In addition, Fig. 7 shows the comparison of the estimated E _{m(e)} and MOE_{(o)}, in which the measurement points of stress wave propagation velocity on the pith are taken as an example of the relationship between estimated value and observed value. Figure 7a shows the comparison in the case of the moisture content after drying, u _{ a }; also, Fig. 7b shows a comparison in the case of 15% moisture content. As shown in Table 4, for ρ _{(o)} V _{(o)} ^{2} and MOE_{(o)} for any moisture content, the estimation errors of E _{m(e)} (that is, E _{ma(e)}/ρ _{a(o)} V _{a(o)} ^{2}, E _{ma(e)}/MOE_{a(o)}, E _{m15(e)}/ρV _{15(ASTM)} ^{2}, E _{ma(e)}/MOE_{15(ASTM)}) were within 10% and 20%, respectively. The estimation accuracy only dropped slightly, compared to the results derived from the measured density, as described above. The estimated values were larger than the observed values because the density of the specimen used in this experiment is considered to be slightly lower [(379 ± 37) kg m^{−3}], compared to the density distribution of the database used as a reference in the Monte Carlo simulation method [(411 ± 45) kg m^{−3}]. Nonetheless, the extent of this error is very insignificant. Using this estimation method it is possible to ensure practical estimation accuracy without measuring the density.
Estimation accuracy without MC data
Onsite at a log market, it is often difficult to obtain the real moisture content of fullscale timbers instantly and nondestructively. Therefore, for the case where both density and moisture content are unknown, that is, only the stress wave propagation velocity can be measured, examining whether it is possible to estimate the Young’s modulus in the airdrying state with some accuracy was carried out. First, an arbitrary moisture content above the FSP was assumed to be corresponding to the stress wave propagation velocity in highmoisture condition (before drying), V _{b(o)}; V _{15(e)} in the airdrying state (moisture content of 15%) was estimated from the stress wave propagation velocity V _{b(o)} at that time using the u − V _{ u }/V _{0} relationship obtained in this study. Subsequently, using a Monte Carlo simulation method as described above, the Young’s modulus in the airdrying state (moisture content of 15%), E _{m15(e)}, was estimated from this V _{15(e)} and compared with the observed value, MOE_{15(ASTM)}. As an example, the results in the case of measurement on the pith are shown in Fig. 8, with the horizontal axis as the accuracy of moisture content, that is the ratio of the assumed value over the real measured value, u _{b}; if the value is closer to 1, it means that the assumed value is closer to the measured value of the moisture content. The vertical axis is the estimated accuracy of MOE in the airdrying state (moisture content of 15%). From Fig. 8, when the assumed value of moisture content is half of the true value (0.5 on the horizontal axis), the estimation accuracy of MOE_{15(ASTM)} becomes 1.04 ± 0.13; in contrast, when the assumed value of moisture content is 1.5 times (1.5 on the horizontal axis), the estimation accuracy of MOE becomes 1.37 ± 0.26. For instance, in a fullscale timber of 80% moisture content, MOE is estimated by assuming the moisture content as 40%. Although the assumed moisture content is incorrect, the estimated value is about the same as the observed value. As mentioned above, this is because the Young’s modulus derived via the Monte Carlo method without measuring the density has been overestimated about 20%. This point is offset by having underestimated the moisture content, the resulting estimation accuracy hence improves. Conversely, assuming 120% moisture content on an 80% moisture content of a fullscale timber to estimate MOE, the value is being overestimated by about 40%. For this result, the difference in the measurement position is hardly found.
From above, even when both the density and the moisture content were not known, while measuring the stress wave propagation velocity V _{b}, of fullscale timber above the FSP, if the moisture content was set to be lower in the analysis, it was suggested that the Young’s modulus of fullscale timber in the airdrying state could be estimated with a relatively good accuracy. Being able to estimate the Young’s modulus in the airdrying state at the stage of log is a very useful technique for efficient utilization of wood; that is, using the appropriate wood in the appropriate place.
Conclusion
In this study, aiming to estimate the Young’s modulus of fullscale timber in the airdrying state from the stress wave propagation velocity measurement under highmoisture condition, the effect of moisture content on the stress wave propagation velocity was investigated. That is, having measured the stress wave propagation velocity, moisture content, density and Young’s modulus of the timber before drying and after drying, these experimental data were used via numerical analysis to derive the relationship between moisture content and rate of change of velocity of the fullscale timber. Using the obtained relationships, the Young’s modulus of timber in the airdrying state was estimated from the stress wave propagation speed under highmoisture condition and its effectiveness was verified. The obtained results are as follows:

1.
Using the relationship between moisture content and rate of change of velocity, derived via numerical analysis, the stress wave propagation velocity and the Young’s modulus could be estimated from the density, moisture content and stress wave propagation velocity of fullscale timber before drying (moisture condition above the fiber saturation point) with high accuracy. For the estimation of stress wave propagation velocity, the results were verified experimentally and even with different tree species, the relationship equations derived in this study were fully applicable.

2.
In the case that the density cannot be measured, using the existing database of mechanical properties with Monte Carlo simulation method, the Young’s modulus of fullscale timber in the airdrying state could be estimated from the moisture content and the stress wave propagation velocity before drying within an estimation error of 20%.

3.
Even when both density and moisture content are unknown, if the moisture content is set lower in the analysis, the Young’s modulus in bending (MOE) of fullscale timber in the airdrying state could be calculated from its stress wave propagation velocity before drying.
References
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Yamasaki, M., Tsuzuki, C., Sasaki, Y. et al. Influence of moisture content on estimating Young’s modulus of fullscale timber using stress wave velocity. J Wood Sci 63, 225–235 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s1008601716245
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s1008601716245